The NBA season tips off in exactly over per week and we break down every teams odds and win totals in our division betting previews.
Covers Expert Steve Merril starts us off within the Southwest and simply because Tim Duncan has finally rode off into the sunset, does not imply the Spurs still don't rule the roost
.Dallas Mavericks (2015-16: 42-40 SU, 45-36-1 ATS)
Odds to Win the Division: +2200
Season Win Total: 38.5
Why to bet at the Mavericks: Save for one season (2012-13), the Mavs have made the playoffs yearly this century. They still have Dirk Nowitzki and Rick Carlisle is likely one of the league’s better coaches. They added Harrison Barnes and Andrew Bogut within the offseason. Seth Curry (brother of Steph) might be an underrated acquisition. The last time this team finished with fewer than 40 wins in a non-lockout year was 1997-98. The bar is low and the depth within the West isn’t what it once was.
Why to not bet the Mavericks: I BELIEVED they grossly overpaid for Barnes. Barnes coming in to interchange the departed Chandler Parsons isn't a price add. The nucleus is old with Nowitzki now 38. They were outscored last season. I absolutely see this as a team in decline.
Season Win Total Pick: Under 38.5
Houston Rockets (2015-16: 41-41 SU, 37-45 ATS)
Odds to Win the Division: +900
Season Win Total: 44.0
Why to bet the Rockets: Last season need to be considered somewhat of a “worst-case scenario.” I can’t see them being worse this year. This was the most productive ATS team within the league two years ago, so search for them to dance back on the betting window besides. James Harden leads probably the most five best offenses within the league. Mike D’Antoni was an excellent hire given the make-up of this team and so they added both Ryan Anderson and Eric Gordon.
Why to not bet the Rockets: Pretty much as good as they're offensively, the Rockets stink defensively. D’Antoni’s arrival doesn’t figure to assist in that department nor does Dwight Howard leaving. Among playoff teams, Houston was tied with Portland for last in defensive efficiency. As disappointing as Howard was here, his interior presence can be missed.
Season Win Total: Over 44.0
Memphis Grizzlies (2015-16: 42-40 SU, 42-39-1 ATS)
Odds to Win the Division: +1100
Season Win Total: 42.5
Why to bet the Grizzlies: They can’t possibly be as injured as they were last season, right? Incredibly, 28 different players suited up for the Grizz last season, which was a single season NBA record. It was an enormous money deal, but PG Mike Conley was retained. Also, the team was in a position to nab Chandler Parsons clear of Dallas. This have been a playoff team for every of the last six seasons.
Why to not bet the Grizzlies: Outscored by nearly three points per 100 possessions last year, the team finished well “in the red” in the case of point differential (-2.2 per game), which was worst among all playoff teams. Their gap between actual and expected wins was the biggest within the entire league. They were fortunate to move 8-3 SU in games decided by three points or less. One player’s health that they need to not anticipate is Marc Gasol, who has missed 20+ games all the last two seasons. Zach Randolph, believe it or not, is now 35. There’s not much depth at the bench. New head coach David Fizdale is slightly an issue mark.
Season Win Total Pick: Under 42.5 (love this one!)
New Orleans Pelicans (2015-16: 30-52 SU, 36-46 ATS)
Odds to Win the Division: +2800
Season Win Total: 37.0
Why to bet the Pelicans: They've Anthony Davis, who was hailed as a top five player going into last season. Davis missed 21 games a year ago while posting the worst field goal percentage of his young career. Search for a get better season from him and the team, which won 45 games two seasons ago and made the playoffs. Rookie Buddy Hield has looked good within the preseason. I'VE the Pelicans getting back to the postseason this year because the eight seed. They need to improve upon last year’s dismal ATS mark.
Why to not bet the Pelicans: It is still seen if Davis can play just about an entire 82-game season. He has missed no less than 14 games once a year in his pro career and has already suffered a Grade 2 sprained ankle. Instead of him, not so much jumps out at you in this roster. Jrue Holliday and Tyreke Evans, two other starters, also are more likely to miss the season opener. The Pelicans ranked 28th in defensive efficiency last season, which was tied to Davis missing such a lot of games.
Season Win Total Bet: Over 37.0
San Antonio Spurs: (2015-16: 67-15 SU, 44-38 ATS, 35-45-2 O/U)
Odds to Win the Division: -750
Season Win Total: 56.5
Why to bet the Spurs: Because they're the Spurs. As you can find they're the overpowering favorite to take the division and I’d also consider them a lock to complete No. 2 within the West behind Golden State. Despite high pointspreads, this team finished “within the black” ATS. They allowed – by far – the fewest points per game in the league (92.9) and feature a Hall of Fame coach. Pau Gasol, considered one of three players within the league to average no less than 15 points and 10 rebounds all of the last two seasons, has come aboard.
Why to not bet the Spurs: At some point, the team will decline. It’s the top of an era with Tim Duncan having retired. Boris Diaw, David West and Boban Marjanovic also left. The space between them and the soldiers may be much larger than it was last year.
Season Win Total: Over 56.5
Read More... [Source: Covers.com: NBA News and Stories]
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