Upside. That’s the magic word when discussing what it takes to win a big field guaranteed prize pool (GPP) tournaments just like the ‘Millionaire Maker’ on industry leader DraftKings. The location has already crowned multiple $1 million winners within the 2014 NFL season alone.
You don’t just desire a lineup stuffed with players who're solid. What you wish to have is to seek out the correct mix of players who perform well above expectation for the week. That could be a very difficult task, that's why the payouts are so handsome if you happen to be ready to pull it off.
So, how do you go about finding that upside and integrating it into your lineups? Well, I’ll break it down and supply some insights into what your thought process should include.
Quarterbacks
One would think that you'd wish to grab a dear quarterback to be able to win a tournament. After all, they score probably the most points, right? Well that’s true, but they’re also essentially the most consistent performers from week to week. That still sounds nice. But we’re not on the lookout for consistency when looking to win a large tournament. We're on the lookout for players who can blow expectations out of the water. And frankly, players similar to Peyton Manning and Aaron Rodgers have raised the bar so high that it’s difficult for them to drastically outperform their salaries. On top of that, they limit your ability to get other elite talents at running back and wide receiver into your lineup.
A few guys I’m taking a look at for the ‘Millionaire Maker’ on DraftKings this week are Mark Sanchez ($5,400) and Matt Ryan ($6,300). These are guys in high-powered offenses that supply the upside of a 4 touchdown passing performance, but come at a steep discount from the tier of elite quarterbacks.
When using quarterbacks in tournaments, it's nearly always advisable to pair the quarterback with certainly one of his receivers or tight ends. When seeking to maximize upside, this may be huge because you’re essentially getting credit twice for any touchdown that your quarterback throws to a receiver who you may have also drafted.
To clarify, none of that is to mention you can’t make it work with a dear quarterback in a tournament. Surely, it’s possible and have been done time and again over. But by finding upside for inexpensive at quarterback, you've the cash to spend to dominate elsewhere.
Running Backs and Wide Receivers
When people take into consideration upside relating to running backs and receivers, they immediately take into accounts big plays. That may be fair to a couple extent, but shouldn’t be the one focus.
You’re on the lookout for ways in which these players can produce huge fantasy days. It doesn’t matter the way you get there. One of the best ways is touchdowns. Finding players being able to score two touchdowns in a game with more regularity than other players is without doubt one of the biggest keys to nailing the running back and wide receiver positions. While players like Desean Jackson can get a 60-yard touchdown for you at any time, they’re not always the most productive bet to attain where scoring is in all probability happening within the red zone.
Trying to foretell red zone touchdowns can seem daunting. But information comes in various places that may help. Search for red zone targets for wide receivers and red zone touches for running backs. The leaders in these categories can be your best bet for multiple scores in per week. This doesn’t always lead them to great tournament plays, but it surely generally is a leg up.
The thing more I GLANCE for is overall involvement within the offense. Running backs reminiscent of Matt Forte ($10,000), Demarco Murray ($8,600), Jamaal Charles ($6,400) and Lesean McCoy ($5,600) figure to be huge parts in their respective offenses most weeks. At wide receiver, players akin to Demaryius Thomas ($8,500), Jordy Nelson ($7,600) and Brandon Marshall ($5,600) see targets up and down the field, including within the red zone. These can be your best bets for enormous breakout games.
Overall, when researching players, search for others who see loads of usage throughout games and likewise get red zone opportunities.
Tight Ends
Touchdowns. Period. End of story. The tight end position is dominated by touchdowns. Their big bodies lead them to ideal red zone weapons. Search for players on good offenses who get targeted often within the red zone when choosing tight ends. Julius Thomas ($4,900) is without equal example of this. He has Peyton Manning, he’s huge, and he gets hundreds looks within the red zone. There is not any higher upside play than Julius Thomas this week.
Defenses
When selecting a defense, you wish to have a team with a purpose to be within the lead. Search for the huge favorites within the betting lines. I also love having a team at home. A HOUSE team with a large lead is the proper situation for a fantasy defense. You’ve put the opposite team able where they're going to need to throw the ball a lot, increasing the possibility for sacks, interceptions, and in turn, defensive touchdowns. The Baltimore Ravens ($3,200) are my favorite team defense to focus on this week.
When building tournament lineups in a position to competing for that $1 million top prize on DraftKings never forget the goal is to search out situations where a player can play his easiest game. Playing it safe isn't necessary. Pair your players in ways where they either wildly succeed or fail miserably together. A middling result wasn’t going to lead to you hitting a large payday anyway. Keep it safe within the 50/50 and head-to-head games. In tournaments, however, you opt for the gusto.
Any questions? Find me on Twitter @IanJ300 and I’d feel free to provide my best answer. Come again next week for more strategy talk.
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